According to a study published in the Journal “The Lancet” on August 26, it has been estimated that the number of obese people will increase from 99 million to 164 million from 2008 to 2030 in U.S. and will increase from 15 million to 26 million within the same time in U.K.
According to the study, U.S. obesity rate of obesity will increase from 32% to approximately 50% for men and 45% to 52% for women. Whereas in U.K., rate of obesity will increase from 26% to somewhere between 41-48% for men and from 26% to somewhere between 35-43% for women.
Researchers have based their analyses on U.S. data from the year 1988-2008 and on U.K. data 1993-2008.
Obesity related diseases and costs are also estimated to be increased by the time as it has been estimated that the cost of obesity related diseases such as heart diseases, stroke and diabetes will probably increase to $66 billion per year by 2030. This increase would represent 2.6% of increase in total expenditure on health.
According to the Study, by 2030 as a result of Obesity, there will be 6—8·5 million cases of diabetes, 492 000—669 000 additional cases of cancer, 5·7—7·3 million cases of heart disease and stroke and 26—55 million quality-adjusted life years forgone for USA and UK combined.
References and Further Reading:
Wang, Y. C. et. al. (2011). Health and economic burden of the projected obesity trends in the USA and the UK. The Lancet, 378(9793), 815-825.